McCAIN WILL NOT SEEK REELECTION
ARIZONA DODGES A BULLET
By: Todd Brendan Fahey
Sources close to Senator John McCain, speaking on condition of anonymity, have
signaled over the weekend that he will not seek reelection as Arizona's senior elected
official in the next election cycle, 2004. Various factors were cited, including health,
dwindling popularity amongst the state's GOP voters, and lack of cash-on-hand in his
reelection war chest. Mr. McCain suffers from recurrent melanoma, and has undergone
several surgeries since his failed year-2000 Presidential candidacy, for treatment and
removal of the virulent form of skin cancer.
It is not known when Mr. McCain plans to make a formal announcement.
McCain succeeded in raising $4,450,544 in 1998, according to the Center
for Responsive Politics, but his fundraising efforts have ground nearly to a halt in
2001-2002, with only $304,301 having been generated in the current cycle. Directly, CRP
records yield Mr. McCain's fiscal condition:
1997-2002 Total Receipts: $4,781,619
1997-2002 Total Spent: $4,891,961
Cash on Hand: $4,421
Date of last report: March 31, 2002
First elected 1986
Next election 2004
Fundraising by Cycle:
Source of Funds:
PAC Contribution Breakdown:
Quality of Disclosure:
RollCall.com confirmed CRP's report, stating: "In the last half of 2001, McCain's
Straight Talk America political action committee took in $233,410 in contributions, about
$1 million less than it had the previous six months. He also pared the previously lavish
spending of Straight Talk, dropping a top political adviser from its payroll and
registering $425,644 in expenses - less than half of what it spent over the previous six
As of Jan. 1, there was $2,015 in the McCain for Senate bank account." (Paul Kane,
McCain's top political strategist, John Weaver, recently tendered his formal
resignation from the Republican party, and has announced that he will work, in the future,
only for Democrats.
McCain has enjoyed substantial popularity in recent years--garnering 66% of the Arizona
vote in year-1998 Senate elections; but his 24-month dalliance with left-wing Democrats
has taken a toll on his ratings. The American Conservative Union assessed Mr. McCain at a
68% "conservative" ratings, year-2001, while his state's counterpart, Jon Kyl,
earned a perfect 100% rating for the second consecutive year. From a 96% as a freshman
Congressman, 1982, to his current 68%, McCain's slide to the left is the most dramatic in
recorded political history.
The erstwhile "maverick Republican Senator" has co-sponsored legislation
since year-2000 with Massachussets Senator Ted Kennedy on "HMO reform"; with
Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman on "closing gun-show loopholes"; and with
Wisconsin Senator Russ Feingold on the notorious "Campaign Finance Reform"
initiative. A two-year survey of conservative news discussion boards, including
EtherZone.com, FreeRepublic.com, Lucianne.com, FreeConservatives.com, NewsMax.com, show
McCain having lost nearly all of his "grassroots" support. He has, as well, lost
the support of Arizona GOP stalwart and former state party chairman Jack Londen and
socialite fundraiser Georgette Mossbacher, the ex-wife of former George Bush Treasury
Secretary Robert Mossbacher.
As recently as June 4, Mr. Londen spoke to Human Events writer John Gizzi, as to
the potential of "primarying" Mr. McCain, or rendering him subject to a fierce
GOP primary opposition election which, given the mood of Arizona's GOP electorate and the
fact that Democrats and Independents cannot vote in Republican party primary elections, he
would likely lose:
"The tax-cut vote was tragic and I can't imagine how John McCain can call himself
a Republican anymore," Londen told Human Events. "He always called
himself a `Reagan Republican.' Well, it was Ronald Reagan's tax cut in 1981 that took the
rate on the top wage-earner down to 28%. Collections and revenue then went up. And our
senator said he would have voted `yes' on the Bush tax cut if the rate on the highest
incomes was 36% instead of 35% the President wanted? Come on!"
Abandoning ship on McCain's reelection bid is also longtime McCain staffer and stalwart
Grant Woods, a former Arizona state Attorney General. Mr. Woods spoke on-record recently
as to the combined factors which would spell probable doom for a McCain Senate reelection
bid. Those factors were, not surprisingly, opposition to President Bush's tax-rebate
measure; support for a tobacco tax; the favoring of a "Patients' Bill of
Rights", and support for restricting 2nd amendment rights via the "gun-show
loophole" argument. Mr. Woods labeled McCain's positions on each of these issues:
"a series of new and unusual stands."
A McCain retirement from the Senate in 2004 will open the floodgates of Senate
hopesful. Former Congressman Matt Salmon is engaged presently in an expensive and
difficult race for the state's Governorship; longtime Congressman Bob Stump will retire at
the end of this term, and in his mid-70s is unlikely to run for the seat; Congressmen Jeff
Flake, Steve Shadegg and J.D. Hayworth all are popular figures amongst the GOP's
grassroots, with American Conservative Union ratings consistently in the mid-90th
percentile. A formal announcement of retirement from McCain will be a national news event
(old news for Ether Zone readers who were first to know here), but will also
issue a sigh of relief from weary Arizona Republicans, who believed John McCain's claims
in 1981, that he would be a "Barry Goldwater Republican," but who have known for
many years that such was only a campaign promise.
Fahey, a strategic writer stationed in South Korea, has served as aide to Central
Intelligence Agency agent Theodore L. "Ted" Humes, Division of Slavic Languages,
and to the late-Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) chief Lt. General Daniel O. Graham; to
former Arizona Governor Evan Mecham (R-AZ), former Congressman John Conlan (R-AZ) and
others. He is author of Wisdom's Maw: The Acid Novel, Far Gone Books, 1996) and "Al
Hubbard: The Original Captain Trips" (High Times magazine, 1991), exposes of the
CIA's MK-Ultra program and its influence on the Sixties' psychedelic counterculture. He is the architect of DumpMcCain.com
Todd Brendan Fahey is the Strategic Director for Ether Zone.
Todd Brendan Fahey can be reached at email@example.com
Published in the July 8, 2002 issue of Ether Zone.
Copyright © 1997 - 2002 Ether
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